Exclusive: Leaked Senate Primary Poll
Hoosier Advocate has obtained exclusive results of internal statewide polling conducted by one of the Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate in Indiana. The results suggest that three of the candidates stand decent chances of succeeding, with the race still wide open.
A telephone survey of likely voters across the state finds former Senator Dan Coats and former Congressman John Hostettler virtually tied at 29% and 26% respectively, within the margin of error. State Senator Marlin Stutzman also remains in striking distance with 18% of likely voters. The survey was taken last Tuesday and Wednesday nights. Nineteen percent (19%) remain undecided in that match-up. Here are the results of the head to head match-up:
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Unless there is a major shift in the electorate, Don Bates, Jr. and Richard Beheny face little chance of winning the primary. Ironically these two anti-establishment candidates appear to be helping the establishment’s candidate, Dan Coats, the most. According to the poll, voters who plan to vote for Bates or Beheny (8% of primary voters) would otherwise vote for Hostettler and Stutzman.
Coats is viewed favorably by 30% and very unfavorably by 22% of likely Republican voters. Hostettler is viewed very favorably by 32% and very unfavorably by 5%. Stutzman is viewed favorably by 20%, while 3% regard him very unfavorably.
April 11th, 2010 at 7:06 am
[...] Southern Indiana blog Hoosier Advocate is posting what it says are the results of an internal poll done by one of the Republican [...]
April 11th, 2010 at 7:07 am
[...] Southern Indiana blog Hoosier Advocate is posting what it says are the results of an internal poll done by one of the Republican [...]
April 11th, 2010 at 8:39 am
[...] Hoosier Advocate cites a poll that the Once and Future candidate, lobbyist and North Carolinian, Dan Coats is currently leading the pack with Hostettler coming in a close second. Stutzman is apparently fairly close. None of them has a commanding lead in this poll, Coats pulling in 29%, Hostettler at 26%, and Stutzman pulling in 18%. Abdul isn’t necessarily convinced of the soundness of the polling, but says that, in any event, it confirms his sense of how the race is going. There is a lot of wiggle room though, with almost 20% undecided. [...]
April 11th, 2010 at 9:51 am
[...] poll leaked to the Southern Indiana blog Hoosier Advocate shows Dan Coats and John Hostettler competing in a close battle for the lead in the race for the [...]
April 11th, 2010 at 8:32 pm
[...] friends over at Hoosier Access have gained access to a leaked state wide poll. According to the poll, John Hostettler and Dan [...]
April 12th, 2010 at 3:35 pm
Although the spin machines have been busy today attempting to take the teeth out of this leaked poll, my thoughts as I posted earlier today on my blog are: This race is now a tossup.
April 12th, 2010 at 7:46 pm
[...] Hoosier Advocate has the results from a GOP poll (one of the candidates’ internal polling) that indicates that with a little under a month to go, it is a two horse race. The results are: [...]
April 13th, 2010 at 8:21 am
Terrific work! This is the type of information that should be shared around the web. Shame on the search engines for not positioning this post higher!
April 13th, 2010 at 4:33 pm
[...] this week, a conservative Indiana blog leaked what it says is a poll taken by one of the Republican Senate campaigns in Indiana. These numbers [...]
April 13th, 2010 at 5:20 pm
[...] From Hoosier Advocate: [...]
April 14th, 2010 at 5:25 am
I wonder if Bates or Behney will be man enough to back out? They should.
April 14th, 2010 at 8:55 am
Why is a poll “leaked”. I think this poll is way off base as I have seen polls at various debates with hundreds of voters with Behney in the top two and Coats and Hostetller at the very bottom of the five candidates. I wouldn’t be so quick to rule out the vote of thousands of TEA Party people all across the state. Remember Scott Brown was trailing by 30 points just a few weeks before the election. You should vote for your principles and convictions period, and let no poll sway you! With Coat’s past of not living in the state, being a 10 year lobbyist, soft on the second amendment and pro liberal judges, any conservative voting for him should be ashamed of themselves.
April 14th, 2010 at 9:04 am
[...] Pundit Leaked GOP Primary Senate Poll Shows Race Between Dan Coats & John Hostettler From Hoosier Advocate: Don Bates, Jr. – 5% Richard Behney – 3% Dan Coats – 29% John Hostettler – 26% Marlin Stutzman – [...]
April 14th, 2010 at 2:40 pm
[...] Would you please post a link to the "grassroots supports Hostettler" poll? This one: Exclusive: Leaked Senate Primary Poll | Hoosier Advocate is probably from the Hostettler camp… and does not include much information on how it was [...]
April 15th, 2010 at 7:11 pm
[...] Hoosier Advocate broke exclusively, Hostettler and Coats are in a tight battle, with Stutzman within striking distance. Ron Paul may [...]
April 16th, 2010 at 12:51 pm
[...] Hoosier Advocate: Don Bates, Jr. – 5%Richard Behney – 3%Dan Coats – 29%John Hostettler – [...]
April 16th, 2010 at 12:55 pm
It looks like Coats’ career as a lobbyist and being soft on gun grabbers and liberal judges is going to cost him. If one of the other candidates drops out of the race, it will be easy to defeat him. Hostettler is 100% pro-life, 100% pro-Second Amendment, and 100% anti-bailout. And, he is about to get the backing of Ron Paul. Hopefully conservatives will win this one.
April 18th, 2010 at 9:18 pm
nice post. thanks.
April 19th, 2010 at 9:10 am
[...] recent statewide poll for the Republican primary for U.S. Senate which was first reported here drew quite a bit of state [...]
April 19th, 2010 at 2:16 pm
[...] recent TV ad campaign helped raise his numbers. As we first reported here at Hoosier Advocate, one statewide poll of likely GOP voters shows John Hostettler within striking distance of Coats. But over the weekend a Coats staffer [...]
April 24th, 2010 at 3:04 pm
[...] recent TV ad campaign helped raise his numbers. As we first reported here at Hoosier Advocate, one statewide poll of likely GOP voters shows John Hostettler within striking distance of Coats. But over the weekend a Coats staffer [...]
April 24th, 2010 at 5:17 pm
[...] Hoosier Advocate broke exclusively, Hostettler and Coats are in a tight battle, with Stutzman within striking distance. Ron Paul may [...]
April 24th, 2010 at 8:38 pm
[...] recent TV ad campaign helped raise his numbers. As we first reported here at Hoosier Advocate, one statewide poll of likely GOP voters shows John Hostettler within striking distance of Coats. But over the weekend a Coats staffer [...]